DALL-E/Every illustration.

The AGI-in-2027 Thesis

Some researchers are convinced that we are on the cusp of superintelligence. Are they right?

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@sanjiva.dubey about 1 year ago

Wonderful article , opens up new thinking

Mark Laurence about 1 year ago

As always from you Ethan, some of the best, balanced and most nuanced thinking on a topic that most authors represent from a tightly held perspective at either end of a belief spectrum. Thank you for all of your great work, it’s always appreciated.

Leo Larrere about 1 year ago

I share your sentiment. I personally don't think current model architectures (even those of recent "enhanced" transformers) can produce an AI capable of discovering new things. Note that "new" here refers to anything humans haven't already put on paper.