What can we learn from Facebook Portal?
Three Shorts: Facebook Portal — back from the dead!; an advertising arbitrage opportunity; a funny story about the power of incentives
Remember Facebook Portal?
It’s a video calling device that launched two years ago, when Facebook’s privacy problems were in the news literally every day. The idea of that company at that moment in history asking you to install an always-on webcam in your living room was beyond absurd. And so, as everyone predicted, it flopped.
You have to be off the rocker to buy consumer hardware from Facebook, Inc. right now.
Whatever we think Bezos is doing with our Echos, Zuckerberg will definitely do with the Portal+.
There was only one wrinkle: the product was actually... good?
The reviews were of course universally negative, but they typically said something like, “While the Portal excels in its intended role as a video phone for the modern era, I remain deeply uncomfortable with [blah blah blah].”
Nobody could deny that the Portal solved real problems with video calling:
- Stability — live video calls require a lot of bandwidth and CPU, and a dedicated hardware device is always going to outperform an overworked laptop with 73 Chrome tabs open.
- Comfort — Have you ever tried to gather a group of people around a laptop screen to make a Zoom call? It sucks. But the Portal has a wide-angle lens that solves the problem completely.
- “Smart Camera” — If you walk around the room, the Portal will zoom and pan to follow you, like an AI cameraman!
Seriously, this last thing is cool:
With Portal, for the first time ever, they had a product that’s actually good on the merits — but it was held back. Purely by the Facebook brand! Imagine how annoying that must have been! I’m not saying you need to sympathize with Facebook or excuse their privacy violations in any way, but it’s just fascinating to consider.
Now, fast forward to the Coronavirus Era. Everything is different.
Never could I have imagined that the world would change so drastically such that Facebook Portal would have product market fit
The Facebook Portal is sold out. People are loving it. And perhaps strangest of all — they’re getting good press!
”Dammit, I love the Portal. There, I said it.” — WSJ
“If there ever was a time to say ‘fuck it’ and just relent to the Facebook Portal, now is that time.” — Buzzfeed
So, what lessons can we learn from this saga?
First, I think we should note how a great product in a great market can overcome a lot of problems. But if you only have a great product, it’s often not enough. Portal worked well from day 1, but the market for video chat products wasn’t desperate enough to overcome the Facebook weight.
Second, we should take this as a lesson of how random history can be. It’s an incredible accident of history that Facebook didn’t pull the plug on this product faster. Maybe they saw something in the data that gave them faith? Maybe they had vision? I do not know. But if Portal endures — which it very well may, thanks to network effects and momentum and whatnot — it will have been nothing short of a miracle.
Third, there’s something interesting to observe in the press quotes I included above. Facebook’s brand has been so damaged that it’s boring to drag through the mud some more. What’s interesting and contrarian is to say that some parts of Facebook might actually be… good? Perhaps the narrative clock has struck midnight, and the worst is over.
Or perhaps not.
By Adam Keesling
Two things are converging in advertising right now: high media usage and low advertising spend.
This combination is creating a unique opportunity to build a customer list at a discounted price, then capitalise on the audience once the economy gets back on track. Let me explain.