the road to 100M ETH

	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I
1
2		scenarios
3	parameter	optimistic	lean optimistic	best guess	lean conservative	conservative	unit	notes
4	ETH staked long-term	15M	25M	30M	40M	50M	ETH	https://beaconcha.in
5	daily EVM fees long-term	30K	20K	10K	8K	6K	ETH/day	https://etherscan.io/chart/transactionfee
6	fee burn percentage	80%	75%	70%	60%	50%		wait for EIP-1559 activation to get good numbers
7	calculation
8	max issuance per year	644K	832K	911K	963K	963K	ETH
9	fee rewards per year	2,192K	1,826K	1,096K	1,169K	1,096K	ETH
10	fee burn per year	8,766K	5,479K	2,557K	1,753K	1,096K	ETH
11	staking APR	18.9%	10.6%	6.7%	5.3%	4.1%
12	annual supply change	-8.1M	-4.6M	-1.6M	-.8M	-.1M	ETH/year
13	annual supply rate	-6.8%	-3.9%	-1.4%	-0.7%	-0.1%
14	years until 100M ETH supply	2.5	4.3	12.2	25.3	151.2	years
15
16
17				constant		value	unit
18				SECONDS_PER_SLOT		12	seconds
19				SLOTS_PER_EPOCH		32	slots
20				EPOCHS_PER_YEAR		82181.25	epochs
21				GWEI_PER_ETH		1000000000	Gwei
22				BASE_REWARD_FACTOR		64
23				see beacon chain spec here
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